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Friday, October 31
Week 9 Name Calling
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Straight Outta Mancavedom: Week 9 Mancrushes
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Wednesday, October 29
Joseph Addai Off The Injury Report and Alex Still Hates Him
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Monday, October 27
The HAIRY'S: Week 8
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Weekend Recap: Week 8
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Saturday, October 25
Da Games: Early Sundayers (Beta)
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Double Coverage
A-Koz: Start Brees
| Tosten: Start Rivers
|
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Friday, October 24
Stat Boy Saturday: ...---...! Strength of Schedule Adjustments
| Name | Fan. Pts | Adj. Pts | Difference |
| T.Romo | 18.0 | 19.6 | 1.61 |
| D.Brees | 17.5 | 18.2 | 0.68 |
| A.Rodgers | 18.8 | 17.5 | -1.24 |
| P.Rivers | 17.5 | 17.4 | -0.11 |
| J.Cutler | 17.2 | 16.9 | -0.31 |
| K.Warner | 16.4 | 15.6 | -0.86 |
| D.McNabb | 14.8 | 14.9 | 0.07 |
| K.Orton | 14.0 | 14.6 | 0.64 |
| M.Schaub | 16.2 | 14.4 | -1.73 |
| P.Manning | 13.4 | 14.0 | 0.63 |
| E.Manning | 14.3 | 13.9 | -0.47 |
| J.Campbell | 13.0 | 12.8 | -0.12 |
| D.Garrard | 11.7 | 12.6 | 0.84 |
| M.Ryan | 10.9 | 12.3 | 1.45 |
| B.Roethlisberger | 12.0 | 12.0 | 0.04 |
| C.Pennington | 12.8 | 12.0 | -0.79 |
| B.Favre | 14.3 | 11.8 | -2.53 |
| J.Delhomme | 10.8 | 10.8 | -0.03 |
| T.Edwards | 12.7 | 10.6 | -2.02 |
| J.T.O'Sullivan | 11.4 | 10.2 | -1.24 |
- Tony Romo gets a 1.61-point boost in his points per game due to his playing the Eagles, Redskins, Browns, and Packers.
- Aaron Rodgers' four 200-yard passing games have all come against teams in the bottom 11 in fantasy points allowed to QBs. With Tennessee, Minnesota, Chicago, and Carolina all coming in the next five weeks, I'd sell him high if I could.
- Brett Favre has only two 200-yard games, against the Chargers and the Cardinals, who rank Nos. 5 and 6 respectively in fantasy points allowed to QBs. That said, I would keep him a few more weeks before I sell high (he plays the Chiefs and Rams in two of his next three games).
- Matt Schaub has piled his stats on the Lions, Dolphins, and Jaguars, all of whom are in the bottom ten in fantasy points allowed to QBs.
| Name | Fan. Pts | Adj. Pts | Difference |
| S.Jackson | 16.8 | 20.2 | 3.46 |
| C.Portis | 18.7 | 20.1 | 1.41 |
| M.Barber | 17.2 | 17.5 | 0.24 |
| B.Westbrook | 16.3 | 17.4 | 1.11 |
| M.Forte | 15.7 | 17.3 | 1.63 |
| F.Gore | 15.4 | 17.0 | 1.54 |
| R.Brown | 14.9 | 15.7 | 0.87 |
| A.Peterson | 15.0 | 15.3 | 0.34 |
| M.Moore | 16.0 | 15.1 | -0.86 |
| R.Bush | 13.7 | 14.4 | 0.73 |
| B.Jacobs | 15.0 | 14.2 | -0.85 |
| J.Lewis | 10.4 | 13.9 | 3.49 |
| C.Johnson | 14.4 | 13.8 | -0.56 |
| S.Slaton | 13.9 | 13.8 | -0.15 |
| M.Turner | 16.1 | 13.1 | -3.01 |
| T.Jones | 13.0 | 12.8 | -0.21 |
| M.Lynch | 13.6 | 12.6 | -0.98 |
| L.Tomlinson | 11.9 | 12.1 | 0.14 |
| W.McGahee | 10.4 | 12.0 | 1.69 |
| E.Graham | 11.7 | 11.8 | 0.14 |
| W.Parker | 14.8 | 11.8 | -2.94 |
| C.Buckhalter | 10.8 | 11.8 | 0.98 |
| M.Jones-Drew | 13.1 | 11.7 | -1.39 |
| E.James | 10.3 | 11.5 | 1.28 |
| L.McLain | 10.0 | 11.0 | 1.03 |
| T.Hightower | 9.2 | 10.4 | 1.22 |
| L.White | 13.4 | 10.2 | -3.12 |
| J.Stewart | 9.4 | 10.2 | 0.78 |
| L.Johnson | 12.2 | 9.9 | -2.23 |
| J.Addai | 9.7 | 9.9 | 0.17 |
| J.Jones | 10.4 | 9.7 | -0.62 |
| D.Williams | 10.3 | 9.1 | -1.11 |
| M.Pittman | 9.3 | 9.1 | -0.17 |
| W.Dunn | 8.8 | 9.0 | 0.21 |
| Ke.Smith | 8.9 | 8.9 | 0.02 |
| S.Morris | 10.6 | 8.6 | -2.01 |
| F.Jones | 9.1 | 8.2 | -0.95 |
| R.Grant | 7.6 | 7.7 | 0.13 |
| D.Ward | 7.6 | 6.9 | -0.69 |
| D.McFadden | 8.2 | 6.5 | -1.74 |
- Steven Jackson has played all of the NFC East plus the Bills (and the Seahawks), yet is still third in unadjusted fantasy points per game. I think he's the best RB going forward, unless...
- Clinton Portis beats him. His schedule is pretty tough going forward, but as you can see above, he's done very well even with a hard schedule thus far.
- Consider how tough Jamal Lewis' schedule has been: He's played the Ravens (1st in fantasy points allowed to RBs), the Steelers (2nd), the Giants (3rd), and the Redskins (5th), along with the Cowboys who are 16th. In his next six games he gets four teams in the bottom 13 of that stat.
- Michael Turner has averaged 150 rushing yards per game against the Lions, Chiefs and Packers (average rank is eight-worst against RBs), and 50 yards against the Bears, Bucs, and Panthers (average rank is eight-best against RBs).
- LenDale White has a 3.12 decrease, compared to Chris Johnson's 0.56 decrease, because White had a monster game against the Chiefs and barely played against the Ravens (three carries), so he didn't get a boost from the Ravens game like Johnson (18 carries) did.
| Name | Fan.Pts | Adj.Pts | Difference |
| A.Boldin | 16.7 | 14.3 | -2.37 |
| A.Johnson | 12.5 | 14.1 | 1.57 |
| R.White | 12.4 | 13.7 | 1.22 |
| Calvin Johnson | 12.9 | 13.2 | 0.38 |
| L.Fitzgerald | 14.1 | 13.1 | -0.96 |
| R.Wayne | 12.2 | 12.4 | 0.19 |
| B.Marshall | 13.0 | 12.4 | -0.58 |
| G.Jennings | 13.2 | 12.1 | -1.14 |
| B.Berrian | 11.6 | 12.0 | 0.39 |
| H.Ward | 11.3 | 11.9 | 0.60 |
| T.Owens | 10.0 | 11.6 | 1.67 |
| S.Smith | 12.3 | 11.6 | -0.68 |
| S.Moss | 12.6 | 11.4 | -1.26 |
| C.Chambers | 10.5 | 11.3 | 0.80 |
| L.Evans | 11.7 | 10.4 | -1.26 |
| V.Jackson | 9.4 | 10.2 | 0.77 |
| D.Bowe | 8.8 | 10.2 | 1.33 |
| P.Burress | 10.4 | 10.1 | -0.29 |
| R.Moss | 10.2 | 9.8 | -0.36 |
| L.Coles | 10.2 | 9.5 | -0.60 |
| D.Mason | 8.0 | 9.3 | 1.36 |
| D.Henderson | 8.4 | 9.2 | 0.81 |
| T.J.Houshmandzadeh | 9.1 | 9.1 | -0.03 |
| E.Royal | 8.5 | 8.9 | 0.38 |
| I.Bruce | 9.8 | 8.7 | -1.15 |
| M.Austin | 8.2 | 8.6 | 0.45 |
| K.Walter | 7.9 | 8.1 | 0.21 |
| S.Breaston | 8.7 | 8.0 | -0.65 |
| M.Muhammad | 8.4 | 7.9 | -0.48 |
| S.Holmes | 7.0 | 7.7 | 0.73 |
| M.Harrison | 7.3 | 7.6 | 0.26 |
| J.Cotchery | 8.5 | 7.5 | -0.97 |
| P.Crayton | 7.4 | 7.4 | 0.08 |
| De.Jackson | 8.2 | 7.3 | -0.95 |
| B.Edwards | 7.1 | 7.3 | 0.15 |
| W.Welker | 7.5 | 7.0 | -0.49 |
| A.Bryant | 7.8 | 6.8 | -1.00 |
| R.Williams | 5.8 | 6.6 | 0.72 |
| L.Moore | 6.6 | 6.3 | -0.25 |
| Chad Johnson | 5.5 | 6.3 | 0.77 |
| D.Driver | 6.4 | 5.8 | -0.58 |
| A.Randle El | 6.0 | 5.7 | -0.37 |
| A.Gonzalez | 5.5 | 5.6 | 0.13 |
| T.Holt | 5.4 | 5.0 | -0.31 |
- Aside from Anquan Boldin, no one else had a change of more than 1.7. I'm not sure why that is, though I'd guess that it has more to do with the volatility of wide receivers than the strength of schedule.
- Speaking of Boldin, his decrease is mainly due to his 140-yard, three-touchdown game against the Dolphins, worst in the league against WRs.
- It's interesting to see that Andre Johnson has an increase while Schaub has a decrease, but that is because Johnson had 130 yards against the best team against opposing WRs, the Colts.
- Santana Moss has the second-biggest decrease in fantasy points, but don't sell him high—he has the Lions, Cowboys, Seahawks, and Giants in four of his next five games, and all of those teams are in the bottom 11 in fantasy points allowed to WRs.
| Name | Fan.Pts | Adj.Pts | Difference |
| J.Witten | 9.4 | 10.3 | 0.83 |
| J.Carlson | 6.4 | 9.4 | 2.96 |
| O.Daniels | 8.2 | 8.2 | 0.00 |
| K.Winslow | 4.9 | 7.5 | 2.61 |
| A.Gates | 7.8 | 7.0 | -0.78 |
| T.Scheffler | 7.6 | 6.4 | -1.14 |
| B.Scaife | 5.6 | 5.9 | 0.28 |
| V.Shiancoe | 5.8 | 5.8 | 0.08 |
| T.Gonzalez | 6.8 | 5.7 | -1.10 |
| A.Fasano | 7.1 | 5.6 | -1.48 |
| C.Cooley | 6.2 | 5.6 | -0.69 |
| G.Olsen | 5.9 | 4.9 | -1.03 |
| Z.Miller | 6.3 | 4.8 | -1.56 |
| Da.Clark | 4.7 | 4.2 | -0.52 |
| H.Miller | 4.1 | 3.6 | -0.57 |
- John Carlson averaged 6.7 fantasy points against the Bills, 49ers and Bucs; those three teams have given up an average of 2.7 fantasy points to TEs on the year, the reason Carlson is so high.
- Winslow averaged 8.1 fantasy points against the Steelers and Cowboys, who have allowed opposing TEs to only score 3.3 fantasy points.
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Week 8 Name Calling
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Boldin returns, fantasy owners rejoice; What about Santonio Holmes?
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Thursday, October 23
Straight Outta Mancavedom: Week 8 Mancrushes
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Wednesday, October 22
News From Ball Street
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Tuesday, October 21
Kellen Winslow Suspended, LJ Next?
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Running the Wire
According to this baseball sabermetrichemagician named Nate Silver who works for Baseball Prospectus and has become famous through his political poll predictive formulamajig blog that has been featured in big wig magazines, news services, and TV shows, Obama has a 93.4 percent chance of winning the election. McCain is all but done.
Many of you I'm sure can relate. And when I say "many of you" I mean "frickin a, McCain's just like me."
But as you can see, the 132-year-old hasn't given up. Neither should you. Keep scanning your wire, keep pulling trades, keep trashing the guy who drafted Tom Brady (if that's not you). You still have a 6.6 percent chance of winning your league!
Gold Wire Pickups
Antonio Bryant/WR Tampa Bay: Week seven seems like a surprise coming-out party for Bryant, but in reality, he had it coming. He is 10th in the league in targets, above names like Terrell Owens, Plaxico Burress, and Calvin Johnson. Jeff Garcia confirmed his role as Tampa's starting QB, mainly through dominating the Seahawks with successful connections to Antonio. All signs point to him being the number one option for the Bucs.
Greg Camarillo/WR Miami: Chad Pennington continues to impress, and the main beneficiary has been Camarillo. He has had four or more catches in each of the past five weeks, and has clearly emerged as the go-to wide out in the Miami offense. His consistency makes him more than worthy for a bench spot in normal-sized leagues.
Sammy Morris/RB New England: After absolutely brutalizing the Broncos on Monday Night Football during the first half (138 yards and a touchdown), Morris went down with what the Pats called a knee injury. The news on Tuesday is that Belichick calls him day-to-day and that he has been seen walking around without a limp. If he's good to go, Morris has the potential to be a solid #3 option with Maroney now on injured reserve and some guy named Benjarvus Green-Ellis being the only legitimate carry hawk.
Copper Wire Pickups
Javon Walker/WR Oakland: Apparently he has recovered from his Vegas beat down. Putting up 75 yards plus a touchdown on five catches, Walker showed the first flashes of better than badness from a Raider receiver all year. Expect increased production in the Oakland offense as the year progresses.
Jeff Garcia/QB Tampa Bay: While Bryant looked great, Garcia looked at least decent. He dropped 310 yards and a score on the Seahawks defense, which in perspective is a lot worse than good so don't get too excited, and is a serviceable backup.
Malcom Floyd/WR San Diego: He has had 60 yards and a touchdown in each of the past two weeks, mainly due to the absense of Chris Chambers. But Floyd is still a third-stringer when Chambers returns, which should be sometime in the next few weeks. He is decently ownable at the moment, possessing great red zone skills and athleticism; he has probably moved ahead of Buster Davis and Legedu Naanee on the depth chart for good, but will most likely go back to being mostly irrelevant in less than a month.
Chicken Wire Pickups
Maurice Morris/RB Seattle: Perusing the box scores, you will see Morris's name pop up as the most productive Seattle position player in Sunday's game against Tampa Bay. It's an illusion. His measly 68 total yards were not even a bright spot for the Seahawks' porous performance. Leave him in the free agent pool.
Josh Morgan/WR San Francisco: Morgan's 86 yards and a touchdown make him a nice little... one-week wonder on a crappy team. Say no.
Got burning questions that you desperately need some random people you read online to answer? FFWritersWithHair@gmail.com. We're not afraid to talk to strangers.
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Monday, October 20
Weekend Recap: Week 7
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Saturday, October 18
Straight Outta Mancavedom: Week 7 Mancrushes
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Stat Boy Saturday: How Consistently is Your RB Getting Carries?
| Player | Carries | St.Dev | Value |
| Chris Johnson | 17.0 | 1.4 | 12.0 |
| Derrick Ward | 8.6 | 1.0 | 8.4 |
| Clinton Portis | 22.7 | 2.9 | 7.7 |
| Brandon Jacobs | 15.8 | 2.6 | 6.0 |
| Selvin Young | 9.4 | 1.6 | 5.8 |
| Matt Forte | 21.2 | 3.8 | 5.6 |
| Steve Slaton | 14.4 | 2.7 | 5.3 |
| Michael Turner | 21.3 | 4.1 | 5.1 |
| Marshawn Lynch | 18.2 | 3.5 | 5.1 |
| Adrian Peterson | 21.5 | 4.2 | 5.1 |
| Reggie Bush | 13.0 | 2.8 | 4.7 |
| Tim Hightower | 7.2 | 1.6 | 4.6 |
| Thomas Jones | 16.8 | 3.9 | 4.3 |
| Steven Jackson | 19.2 | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| Chris Perry | 15.8 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Sammy Morris | 10.6 | 2.8 | 3.8 |
| DeAngelo Williams | 14.3 | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| Frank Gore | 17.8 | 4.8 | 3.7 |
| Jamal Lewis | 18.0 | 4.9 | 3.7 |
| Willie Parker | 22.0 | 6.5 | 3.4 |
| Julius Jones | 18.0 | 5.3 | 3.4 |
| LaDanian Tomlinson | 18.2 | 5.5 | 3.3 |
| Marion Barber | 18.3 | 6.2 | 3.0 |
| Willis McGahee | 14.5 | 5.0 | 2.9 |
| Edgerrin James | 16.8 | 6.1 | 2.7 |
| Jonathan Stewart | 11.7 | 4.5 | 2.6 |
| Earnest Graham | 12.0 | 4.7 | 2.6 |
| Ryan Grant | 17.7 | 7.1 | 2.5 |
| Brian Westbrook | 13.5 | 5.6 | 2.4 |
| Larry Johnson | 18.6 | 7.8 | 2.4 |
| LenDale White | 12.6 | 5.3 | 2.4 |
| Darren Sproles | 4.7 | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| Ronnie Brown | 14.2 | 6.0 | 2.3 |
| Warrick Dunn | 12.5 | 5.4 | 2.3 |
| Fred Jackson | 6.0 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Michael Bush | 11.8 | 5.1 | 2.3 |
| Darren McFadden | 11.8 | 5.2 | 2.3 |
| Felix Jones | 6.0 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Le'Ron McClain | 13.0 | 6.1 | 2.1 |
| Ricky Williams | 10.0 | 4.9 | 2.1 |
| Kevin Smith | 8.4 | 4.5 | 1.9 |
| Pierre Thomas | 5.2 | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| Kevin Faulk | 4.8 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Jerious Norwood | 6.8 | 4.2 | 1.6 |
| Maurice Jones-Drew | 10.8 | 6.9 | 1.6 |
| Joseph Addai | 10.3 | 6.8 | 1.5 |
| Michael Pittman | 8.2 | 5.4 | 1.5 |
| Rudi Johnson | 8.0 | 6.3 | 1.3 |
| Correll Buckhalter | 8.0 | 7.1 | 1.1 |
| T.J. Duckett | 6.8 | 7.1 | 0.9 |
- Chris Johnson has been amazing this year. He's played five games; his carry totals, from low to high: 15, 16, 17, 18, 19.
- Derrick Ward, with 7.25 yards per touch on the year, is a must-own in all leagues, especially if you own Brandon Jacobs (who is No. 4 on this list).
- If in an argument between Clinton Portis and Marion Barber, you can point to consistency to argue for Portis, who is No. 3, over Barber, who is No. 23. For the record, I like Portis more.
- Sammy Morris is the RB to own in New England. He's the most productive, and is most consistently getting carries.
- It is interesting to see McGahee far ahead of Le'Ron McLain. However, that is likely due to McLain's getting only two carries last week when he had 19, 17, 16, and 11 in the first four games.
- Ryan Grant would have moved up 15 spots if his 33-carry game last week was changed to 23 carries. Don't worry about his low spot on the list.
- Likewise, Earnest Graham would have moved up 10 spots if he had had 15 carries instead of five last week.
- Most of the backs in the bottom 10 of the list were either a) injured mid-game (like Addai), or b) backups planted into a bigger role in one or two games due to injuries or another player (like Pittman).
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